Tuesday, December 10, 2013

По случаю Дня прав человека - вспоминая послание "Четыре свободы" Франклина Рузвельта Tuesday December 10th, 2013 at 3:00 PM - by Майкл Макфол

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По случаю Дня прав человека - вспоминая послание "Четыре свободы" Франклина Рузвельта

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Сегодня исполняется 65 лет со дня принятия Всеобщей декларации прав и свобод человека, одобренной Генеральной ассамблеей ООН 10 декабря 1948 года. Этот известный документ утверждает основные свободы всех людей, включая свободу слова, собраний, объединений и вероисповедания.
Недавно ушел из жизни бывший президент ЮАР Нельсон Мандела, и с его смертью мир потерял одного из величайших лидеров борьбы за права человека. Президент Барак Обама охарактиризовал Манделу как «... человека, взявшего историю в свои руки и склонившего стрелку морали всего мира в сторону справедливости».
Мандела и индийский лидер Махатма Ганди, погибший от пули убийцы в Индии в год принятия ООН Декларации прав и свобод человека, – два величайших борца за права человека XX века. В США тоже были свои борцы за права человека, которые внесли огромный вклад в эту борьбу.
В этот день в прошлом году я говорил о наследии Элеоноры Рузвельт, ставшей одной из основных участниц принятия Всеобщей декларации прав и свобод человека. Сегодня я остановлюсь на достижениях ее супруга – президента Франклина Рузвельта, который выступил с одним из важнейших посланий 6 января 1941 года.
В послании, ставшем известным под названием «Четыре свободы», президент Рузвельт заявил: «Мы хотим видеть мир, основанный на четырех основных свободах. Первая – это свобода слова и самовыражения... во всём мире. Вторая – это свобода вероисповедания для каждого человека... во всём мире. Третья – это свобода от нужды... во всём мире. Четвертая – это свобода от страха... во всём мире.»
Хотя в наши дни вряд ли кто не знает этих принципов, во времена Рузвельта они вызывали крайне ожесточенные споры. Перед вступлением США во вторую мировую войну на президента оказывалось огромное давление внутри страны, чтобы избежать участия в конфликтах в Европе, Азии и Африке. Рузвельт настаивал, что мир, безопасность и демократия в мире, где люди имели бы основные права человека, стал бы благом не только для американцев, но и для все людей, и что эти свободы стоят того, чтобы за них побороться. Несмотря на то что во время подписания Всеобщей декларации прав и свобод человека президента Рузвельта уже не было в живых, я не сомневаюсь, что, работая над Декларацией, Элеонора и другие люди вспоминали его и те принципы, которые он изложил в послании «Четыре свободы».
Мне выпала честь встречаться и беседовать с защитниками «четырех свобод» в разных странах. Это адвокаты, защищающие тех, кто оказался под следствием или в тюрьме по политическим мотивам. Речь идет о журналистах и блогерах, которые привлекают всеобщее внимание к случаям растрат и мошенничества властей. Речь идет о людях, не жалеющих своего времени, чтобы помочь подняться тем, кто испытывает боль или находится в нужде. Речь идет об активистах, которые защищают права всех граждан любить тех, кого они хотят любить, без страха возмездия. Речь идет о людях, которые защищают право всех граждан на свободу вероисповедания в обстановке, свободной от страха.
Я восхищаюсь мужеством тех людей в России, Америке и во всём мире, берущих на себя, зачастую не получая в ответ благодарности, ответственность за защиту прав и свобод, которые, как я искренне считаю, являются всеобщими и неотъемлемими. Сегодня я хочу поблагодарить тех, кто принимал и принимает участие в борьбе за права человека, а также тех, кто только принимает эту эстафету. Это совсем не просто, и я испытываю чувство уважения к тем, кто сделал эту борьбу частью своей жизни. Я уже говорил, что там, где дело касается прав человека, идеальных стран нет. Однако я думаю, что это не должно мешать ни старанм, ни людям стремиться к идеалам, которые провозгласил президент Рузвельт и которые Элеонора Рузвельт воплотила в Декларации: защищать основные права всех людей в каждом уголке мира.

Appreciating our “Four Freedoms” on Human Rights Day


Today is the 65th anniversary of the adoption of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights; approved by the UN General Assembly on December 10, 1948.  This remarkable document affirms the basic freedoms of all people, including speech, assembly, association, and worship.
Last year on this date I reflected on the legacy of Eleanor Roosevelt, who was one of the prime movers behind the creation of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights.  Today, I remember her husband, President Franklin D. Roosevelt, who gave one of the most significant speeches in U.S. history on January 6, 1941.  In what would become known as the “Four Freedoms” speech President Roosevelt asserted, “We look forward to a world founded upon four essential human freedoms.  The first is freedom of speech and of expression — everywhere in the world.  The second is freedom of every person to worship God in his own way — everywhere in the world.  The third is freedom from want ... everywhere in the world.  The fourth is freedom from fear ... anywhere in the world."
Though these concepts are hardly new in our day, they were extremely controversial in Roosevelt’s time as the U.S. had yet to enter World War II.  The president faced enormous domestic pressure to stay out of the conflict in Europe, Asia, and Africa.  Roosevelt maintained that a peaceful, secure, democratic world in which individuals would enjoy fundamental human rights would be a boon not only for Americans, but for all people, and that these freedoms were worth fighting for.  Though President Roosevelt was not alive when the Universal Declaration of Human Rights was signed, I have no doubt that Eleanor and others remembered him and the rights he laid out in the “Four Freedoms” speech while they crafted it.
I have been honored to meet and speak with defenders of the “Four Freedoms” around the world.  They are lawyers defending those on trial or jailed for political reasons.  They are journalists and bloggers drawing attention to government waste and fraud.  They are individuals who volunteer their time to lift up those who are hurting or in need.  They are activists who defend the rights of all citizens to love whomever they wish without fear of retribution.  They are those who defend the right of all citizens to choose their own religion and to worship in an environment free of fear.  I admire the courage of those in Russia, in America, and worldwide who take on the, often thankless, responsibility of defending the rights and freedoms I truly believe are universal and inalienable.
Today I thank those who have gone before, those currently involved in the struggle for human rights, and those just picking up the mantle.  It is not an easy thing to do, and I respect all who have made it part of their lives.  I have said before that no country has a perfect track record when it comes to human rights.  Yet I don’t think that should prevent any nation or individual from striving for the ideals that President Roosevelt envisioned and Eleanor Roosevelt put to paper; to uphold the fundamental rights of everyone – everywhere in the world.


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In Search of Arctic Energy 

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As climate change renders the Arctic increasingly accessible, there has been a substantial uptick in industry interest in the region; it is believed an estimated $100 billion could be invested in the Arctic over the next decade.The Arctic contains vast oil and natural gas reserves - the U.S. Geological Survey estimates the Arctic could contain 1,670 trillion cubic feet (tcf) of natural gas and 90 billion barrels of oil, or 30 percent of the world’s undiscovered gas and 13 percent of oil.

Report Highlights Forced Labor, Violations of Workers' Rights In Belarus 

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In a new report, the International Federation for Human Rights and the Belarusian human rights center Vyasna say forced labor and violations of workers' rights are widespread in Belarus.

Russia Puts Uralkali Chief Under House Arrest

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Vladislav Baumgertner, the CEO of Russian potash producer Uralkali, has been put under house arrest in Moscow.

One Charge Against Panova Dropped, 3 More Remain

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A Yekaterinburg court on Tuesday dismissed one of the four charges facing Aksana Panova, the former editor-in-chief of the Ura.ru news agency, after investigators failed to prove that a crime had taken place.

Ukraine will be democratic, as will Russia

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A renewed sense of national identity and a yearning for the prosperity enjoyed in the west have combined in an irresistible force
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RFE/RL Suffers DDoS Attacks

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RFE/RL has been experiencing a distributed denial-of-service (DDoS) attack intermittently since December 8.

If Ukraine Disintegrates Will it Be a Divorce or an Explosion?

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Dan Kaszeta is a chemical weapons expert, but he has also spent many years of his life studying Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Bloc. He raises many good points about the deep internal divisions within Ukrainian society. As Ukraine is now in the midst of its second period of major popular unrest in less than 10 years, his warning that a civil war is not out of the realm of possibility should be seriously considered. — Ed.

Recent dramatic demonstrations in Kiev have highlighted Ukraine’s tenuous position on the exact fault line between Russia and the European Union (EU). The current political situation has developed from the Ukrainian’s decision not to sign an association agreement with the EU. But today’s troubles are only a hint of much deep-seated angst.
The questions of Ukraine’s place in the world and its place in Europe are actually resting on an unsure foundation – the nature of Ukraine itself. What the world considers the borders of Ukraine to be today date only from 1954. What is and isn’t included in Ukraine, and where it begins and ends, has been a matter for debate and conflict for centuries. Measured along every important axis – ethnicity, language, religion, history and (even more importantly) perceptions of history and economics – modern Ukraine is a seriously divided place. Christian Orthodoxy in Ukraine is split into factions that have excommunicated each other. The view of the last century or so of history is particularly telling. Ask Ukrainians the following questions: Is Stepan Bandera (an anti-communist rebel) a hero or a villain? What caused the terrible famine in the 1930s? Was the end of World War II a liberation or a prison sentence? What church do you belong to and what does it think of the other Ukrainian churches? The scope and variety of answers that you will get will show you a country that disagrees on many things.
Ukraine could be easily considered five countries in one. Eastern Ukraine is heavily Russianized and looks as much to Moscow as to Kiev. Western Ukraine, including the historic region of Galicia, was part of central European empires, like the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth, the Hapsburg Empire, and the interwar Polish Republic. Its churches look to Rome at least as much as to the multiple and divided Orthodox patriarchs further east. Uzhhorod, in Western Ukraine, lies further west than 7 of the EU’s capital cities. Central Ukraine, the area around the capital Kiev, is an uneasy mix of both. Crimea has a distinct identity unto itself, and has only been part of Ukraine since a Soviet-era administrative decision in 1954. Crimea even voted for independence from Ukraine in 1992. Odessa is a polyglot multicultural city state like medieval Venice that is really its own thing entirely. The forces holding Ukraine together may not be up to the long-term task of keeping a viable state within the current boundaries.
Countries with such diversity can stay together. But they often don’t. What will happen? The best case outcome is a western-oriented peaceful democratic Ukraine, integrated into the European mainstream. The more likely outcome is decades of continuing muddle between east and west, much as in the last twenty years. But I am most worried about the worst-case scenario, a situation that few want to talk about. Civil war. Some observers felt the risk during the ‘Orange Revolution’ in 2004. The fault-lines that run through Ukraine are easily as serious as those in the former Yugoslavia, and we all know how that ended. It would only take one serious provocation for things to go badly wrong in Ukraine. Civil war in Ukraine would be terrible in its own right, but would be even worse because of the potential for dragging Russia into it. The 2008 Russia-Georgia conflict shows that Russia is not afraid of using armed force to carve regions off of its neighbours, such as Abkhazia, even ones nominally aligned with the west.
Perhaps the best thing Ukraine and the world could do to avert such a disaster is to manage a split pre-emptively, before anyone gets hurt. Perhaps we should acknowledge that the collapse and breakup of the historic Russian/Soviet empires is not yet over, and that the breaking-up process needs to continue a little longer to achieve a workable equilibrium for the people who live there. Both the philosophy and the mechanics of dividing Ukraine without warfare will be troublesome. A Western Ukraine, possibly even resurrecting the old names like Ruthenia and Galicia, will naturally seek its home among the West. At a minimum, we could hope for a “velvet divorce” of Western Ukraine, like the amicable breakup between the Czech Republic and Slovakia. This alone might solve some problems and reduce the pressure considerably. The procedural mechanics are daunting; how does one hold a referendum like this? A national referendum will end up with the present muddle. Regional plebiscites are the answer. Scotland’s example shows that a regional referendum as opposed to a national one isn’t just a notion – it is happening next year in an EU state.
Eastern Ukraine is saddled with industrial infrastructure that mainly sells to Russia, and its population is much more Russian in outlook than anything else. I suspect that Putin’s Russia really wants this land, and it probably is not worth a war to prevent that. Such realignments are not completely out of consideration in modern times; the Moldova-Romania situation proved that. Crimea has never had strong ties either to Ukraine or Kiev. One could argue that Odessa would be too small to survive on its own, but we should remember that the Odessa region actually has a population larger than Slovenia, Estonia, Kosovo, Malta, or Montenegro.
But all of this salami-slicing is around the edges. War, if it comes, will be over the middle. Kiev figures prominently in both Ukrainian and Russian psyches. Russians often consider Kiev the cradle of Russian civilization, and certainly the birthplace of Russian Christianity. But Ukrainian and Russian identities have diverged in the last millennium; can Ukrainians accept a national identity without Kiev? For most of history, the Tsarist period and the Soviet period, a Russo-centric view prevailed. Is Kiev another Jerusalem, destined to be the cause of angst and division for centuries? It will take the wisdom of Solomon to figure out how to reconcile the two viewpoints. Perhaps the least bad option is to reduce the current muddle to the middle, with a reduced central Ukraine bridging the gap between East and West.
It is not the cleanest solution, but one better than a war. I’ve been worried about this potential crisis for nearly twenty years now. If I figure it out a better solution, I’ll write another column.
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Pressure Mounts On Belarusian LGBT Community

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Amnesty International has singled out Belarusian gay-rights activist Ihar Tsikhanyuk, who was seized in hospital and beaten up by police earlier this year, for its annual international letter-writing event Write for Rights. And as the world marks Human Rights Day on December 10, campaigners condemn what they describe as the ruthless repression of gays and lesbians in Belarus.

New Report Highlights Lack Of Transparency In Azerbaijan's Oil Industry 

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It's no secret that oil wealth plus autocracy often equals secrecy and corruption, despite international efforts to fight the problem through greater business transparency. A new report on Azerbaijan's oil industry underlines the challenge.

Gazprom to Offer Settlement in EU Investigation of Business Practices 

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EU Competition Commissioner Joaquin Almunia has said that Gazprom has promised to present proposals this week to end a year-long investigation into its business practices and avert a possible fine of as much as $14.3 billion. The EU competition watchdog earlier this year threatened to send formal charges to Gazprom, which supplies a quarter of Europe’s gas consumption needs. Bowing to EU pressure, Gazprom’s Deputy Chairman Alexander Medvedev told Almunia last week that the company was willing to settle the case.

World Marks Human Rights Day

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Countries around the world are marking International Human Rights Day. U.N. Human Rights Chief Navi Pillay said the fundamentals for protecting and promoting human rights are largely in place, but the key now is in implementing these standards when the political will and financial resources often are lacking on the ground. She also noted the past 20 years have seen a number of failures to prevent atrocities and safeguard human rights. The United Nations honors five rights defenders...

Saturday, November 30, 2013

Tide of discontent sweeps through Russia's struggling 'rust belt' - NBCNews.com (blog)



» Police Use Tear Gas to Clear Protesters in Kiev
30/11/13 07:49 from NYT > Europe
Riot police, swinging clubs and spraying tear gas, beat back several hundred demonstrators in support of free-trade accords between Ukraine and the European Union.        
» Riot Police Brutally Disperse Protesters in Kiev
30/11/13 07:49 from NYT > Europe
The police, swinging clubs and spraying tear gas, beat back several hundred demonstrators who were protesting in support of free-trade accords between the country and the European Union.        
» Tide of discontent sweeps through Russia's struggling 'rust belt' - NBCNews.com (blog)
30/11/13 07:08 from Russia - Google News
NBCNews.com (blog) Tide of discontent sweeps through Russia's struggling 'rust belt' NBCNews.com (blog) By Anna Nemtsova, NBC News contributor. BAIKALSK, Russia -- A tide of discontent is sweeping across Russia's "ru...
» To deal or not to deal? Ukraine's EU-Russia crossroads in facts and numbers - RT
30/11/13 06:36 from Russia - Google News
RT To deal or not to deal? Ukraine's EU- Russia crossroads in facts and numbers RT Meanwhile, the EU offered to compensate Ukraine to the tune of 1 billion euros for various losses that would result from a stricter trade regime by Ru...

» Soviet Dissident Gorbanevskaya Dies In Paris
30/11/13 04:53 from Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty
Natalya Gorbanevskaya, one of the former Soviet Union's most prominent dissidents, died in Paris on November 29 at the age of 77.


Friday, November 29, 2013

Russia Can't Grow and Steal at the Same Time - By Anders Åslund

Russia Can't Grow and Steal at the Same Time




The Kremlin's two key goals are to maintain political power and to enrich the ruling elite. At best, economic growth is the third-ranking goal, and it contradicts the two primary aims. Logically, the current Kremlin policy leads to economic stagnation.
Political analyst Yevgeny Minchenko captures the new system best with his concept of Politburo 2.0. This is no vertical of power but an old-­fashioned feudal system, where the ruler functions as an arbiter or godfather between nine major lords: three private businessmen from St. Petersburg, three top state enterprise managers and three leading state officials. This system of rule is reminiscent of Soviet leader Leonid Brezhnev's Politburo in 1980, which stood out for its petrification. It can maintain political power for a long time, but it cannot be reformed. Such a system can only collapse.
The second goal of the ruling elite is its own enrichment. The concept of conflict of interests is unknown in Russia, and senior officials are never accused of corruption. The quickest road to riches is to receive an overpriced pipeline or road contract from the state or a state corporation without competition. Alternatively, a state manager can buy a private company expensively and demand a kickback. Or he can sell a state company cheaply and request a kickback from the private buyer. There are many other ways of corrupt revenues, such as extortion by private businessmen, theft and embezzlement, but they are more labor-intensive and generate less remuneration. Sometimes the perks are legal, as when the presidential administration distributes luxury housing to deserving officials. Yet all these means of elite enrichment are parasitical and harm economic growth.
During Russia's growth spurt from 1999 to 2008, growth was generated by the market reforms of the 1990s, ample free capacity, rising oil prices and redundant human capital. By 2008, the free capacity had largely been exploited, and the oil prices have leveled out at $100 to $120 per barrel with some fluctuations. No significant market reforms have been carried out since 2002.
From 2010-12, the growth rate moderated to 4 percent. A major cause of the lower growth was that the government bailed out the worst big state and private corporations during the crisis in 2008-09, so that they crowded out more productive companies. Arguably, the growth came from two sources: human capital and international economic integration.
Persistently, economic growth has come from the private sector, consisting of tycoons, small and medium-sized businesses and large foreign investors. The old oligarchs are now tightly circumvented. They are allowed to sell their companies to the state — when the state so desires — at a price determined by the state, but they are not allowed to buy other big companies, only medium-sized firms. Therefore, the biggest tycoons have little choice but to take their money out of the country. They have ceased being an entrepreneurial force.
The small and medium-sized enterprises are checked from all sides. Many have hit a glass ceiling and sell to the country's wealthiest businessmen for whom the glass ceilings are so much higher. Small enterprises are facing tougher taxation and government extortion, and hundreds of thousands have chosen to close down this year. The announced amnesty of 100,000 dubiously jailed businessmen dwindled to 1,000. President Vladimir Putin is now advocating harder tax repression of private firms through the Investigative Committee, which of course will aggravate corruption and further enrich officials of that agency. As the total number of enterprises declines, competition diminishes and productivity stagnates.
Paradoxically, the happiest companies in Russia may be large multinational corporations producing in the country. They roll in with their high technology and enjoy minimal competition, which drives up both sales and prices, though admittedly costs increase as well. Yet, their share of Russia's economy remains tiny, so they do not contribute much to economic growth.
Management consultants point to the shortage of good managers as the greatest bottleneck in the country's economy, followed by roads. The thieving at the top makes it impossible to build roads, so corruption is the key problem.
Until recently, much of the growth could be ascribed to skillful new managers moving to more poorly managed companies. With state companies expanding their dead hands over the economy, this process has gone in reverse. When Rosneft bought TNK-BP, one of Russia's best-managed big companies, Vedomosti reported that 90 percent of the 1,600 employees in the TNK-BP headquarters left, presumably many of them emigrated. Instead, Igor Sechin, an apparatchik without management experience, took over Rosneft and imposed his micromanagement.
Similarly, Russia adopted many liberalizing laws to enter the World Trade Organization, which helped open up the economy to more global competition. When Russia finally joined the WTO last year, this process also went into reverse. The Customs Union with Belarus and Kazakhstan is a harebrained protectionist scheme that will damage the Russian economy through trade diversion and by compelling the Kremlin to pay large subsidies to other countries that agree to participate.
Russia's economic problems are not financial. The budget remains close to balance and will be so even with a falling oil price because of the novel floating exchange rate. Although the current account surplus has dwindled, it is still in surplus, and Russia's international reserves are impressive at more than $500 billion.
Any fiscal or monetary stimulus would only cause higher inflation and more illegal immigration because Russia's economy is working at full capacity. Unemployment is low at 5 percent, while inflation remains a concern at 6 percent. Russia's investment rate is too low at 21 percent of gross domestic product and probably much lower in reality because of the extraordinary kickbacks. Russia needs to fight its top-level corruption before it can start building roads.
Unperturbed, at each of his many crisis meetings about falling economic growth, Putin proposes another mega investment that will undoubtedly aggravate corruption.
As long as the president pursues an anti-growth and pro-corruption policy, no economic growth is likely.

Anders Åslund is a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington and author of "Russia's Capitalist Revolution."


Read more: http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinion/article/russia-cant-grow-and-steal-at-the-same-time/490264.html#ixzz2m3ad8EZo
The Moscow Times 1`


» Is Russia's Economy Under-Performing? Not In Comparison to Eastern Europe - Forbes
29/11/13 11:59 from Russia - Google News
Is Russia's Economy Under-Performing? Not In Comparison to Eastern Europe Forbes Anders Aslund recently penned a blistering polemic about Russia's decrepit and decaying economy, placing the blame for its weakening performance squ...

» Don't Look Now But 'Dying' Russia's Population Is Still Growing - Forbes
29/11/13 10:30 from Russia - Google News
Don't Look Now But 'Dying' Russia's Population Is Still Growing Forbes Why do I care? Well, purely as a factual matter you cannot describe Russia's population as “shrinking” because it isn't: as that graph shows, ...

» Constitutional Amendments Sought to Remove Ban on Official State Ideology
29/11/13 07:35 from The Moscow Times Top Stories
A United Russia party lawmaker has drafted amendments seeking to remove the ban on state ideology and international guarantees of human rights and liberties from the Constitution.


» Закат Российского парламентаризма
29/11/13 04:23 from Новости дня
Опрос, проведенный Левада-центром, показал вполне ожидаемые цифры недоверия Государственной думе. 43% опрошенных призывают уничтожить этот институт общества, 65% высказались Подробнее...


» UNSC decries attack on Russian embassy in Damascus as 'terrorist act' - RT
28/11/13 23:05 from Russia - Google News
Edmonton Journal UNSC decries attack on Russian embassy in Damascus as 'terrorist act' RT The UN Security Council has strongly condemned an attack on its Damascus embassy, describing it an “act of terrorism”. A mortar shell hit R...


» Russia still wielding its power over eastern Europe - Irish Times
28/11/13 21:01 from Russia - Google News
Russia still wielding its power over eastern Europe Irish Times chilly Lithuanian capital of Vilnius yesterday evening, the joke circulating among officials was whether Russia would cut off gas supply to this corner of the Baltics, a reg...


» Russia's Ex-Defense Chief Faces Criminal Probe - Wall Street Journal
28/11/13 20:17 from Russia - Google News
The Star Online Russia's Ex-Defense Chief Faces Criminal Probe Wall Street Journal MOSCOW— Russian investigators on Thursday opened a criminal-negligence case against former Defense Minister Anatoly Serdyukov, who was forced out a ye...



New York Times
MOSCOW — Russian investigators on Thursday charged a former minister of defense, Anatoly E. Serdyukov, with negligence for ordering the Russian military to build a road from a village to a private country residence in the south. Enlarge This Image ...

NBCNews.com
Russian history books have long come under fire for their murky coverage of the dark period of Soviet terror under Communist leaders like Josef Stalin, who was known for airbrushing his enemies out of photos. Other controversial topics include the ...



RT

The meeting, dedicated to the 20th anniversary of the Russian Constitution took place in Moscow on Wednesday afternoon and was attended by representatives of eight major parties, ranging from the pro-business Civil Platform to the Communists of Russia.

Pope Francis: Church can't 'interfere' with gays

CNN (blog) - ‎Nov 28, 2013‎
(CNN) - Pope Francis said the church has the right to express its opinions but not to "interfere spiritually" in the lives of gays and lesbians, expanding on explosive comments he made in July about not judging homosexuals. In a wide-ranging interview ...